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Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis: an inventory of ideas, methods and techniques

Gevoeligheidsanalyse en onzekerheidsanalyse: een inventarisatie van ideeen, methoden en technieken

Synopsis

Mathematical models are useful tools for studying many problems in the environmental and public health area. For a reliable development and application of these models modelanalysis has to be an indispensable part of the total modelling process. This modelanalysis usually consists of performing sensitivity- and uncertainty analyses to the model. In this report a methodology is presented for these analyses and a survey is given of available techniques. Moreover some currently used measures for quantifying the uncertainty contribution of the various sources of uncertainty are critically evaluated and improved.
 

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