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Aggregated model for forecasting seaborne shipping. Aggregation of the models GSM6 and Progtot3

Geaggregeerd model voor volume-ontwikkelingen in de zeescheepvaart. Aggregatie van de modellen GSM6 en Progtot3

Synopsis

GSM6 is a complex model for predicting seaborne shipping to and from the harbour of Rotterdam. This model is simplified and combined with a model to forecast ship movements in the harbour of Rotterdam. This report describes both the simplified model and the model to forecast ship movements. This simplified model is called PROZIN. Simulations show that the simplified model performs quite well: the differences between the simplified model and GSM6 are less than 10 percent. This report also describes a model to forecast seaborne shipping from and to the Netherlands, based on the forecasts for the harbour of Rotterdam.
 

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