English Abstract It is the opinion of the Environmental Forecasting
Bureau that in aid of the next environmental forecasts (like "Zorgen voor
Morgen") more attention should be paid to management aspects. Particularly
the implementation and enforcement of environmental policy are aspects that
need to be high-lighted. Not paying attention to these qualitative aspects
of environmental measures is within the Department of Environmental Quality
recognized as a "white spot" which should be coloured in the near future.
This report contains an extensive description of a problem exploring survey
which examines the possibilities of the integrating management aspects into
the scenario- activities of the Department of Environmental Quality. One
main result of the survey is that only at a very high (indicative)
abstraction level management aspects can be integrated into the
scenario-activities. Tackling this issue at a low abstraction level within
four months is nearly impossible because of its time-consuming enterprise.
The survey also shows that modelling or quantifying behavioral aspects is
very difficult. After an extensive description of tackling the issue at a
low abstraction level, as a result of this problem exploring exercise, five
simple indicators are found which could determine the speed of
implementation and effectivity of an environmental measure. These
indicators are: Complexity of the Management, Pressure on Management
Capacity, Drasticality of the measure ofr the target group, Controlability
of the measure and Influence (Power) of the Target group. the report ends
with a description of these indicators, their inter- relationship and the
possible application of these into the scenario- activities. The results of
this problem exploring survey are not absolute results but can be
interpreted as material for discussion.
