References used in the RIVM Handbook on strategic foresight
- Aguilar, F. J. (1967). Scanning the Business Environment. New York: Macmillan.
- CBS, CPB, PBL, & SCP. (2011). Sustainability Monitor for the Netherlands 2011. The Hague: Statistics Netherlands / PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
- Dator, J. (2009). Alternative futures at the Manoa School. Journal of Futures Studies, 14(2), 1–18.
- Dreborg, K. H. (1996). Essence of backcasting. Futures, 28(9), 813–828.
- Elangovan, N., & Rajendran, R. (2015). Conceptual Model: A Framework for Institutionalizing the Vigor in Business Research [working paper]. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.2164.8484
- European Commission, Directorate-General for Health and Food Safety. Best Practice Portal. Brussels: European Commission.
- European Commission. (n.d.). Strategic foresight. Retrieved 1 September 2026, from https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/strategic-foresight_en
- European Commission. (2001). FOREN – A Practical Guide to Regional Foresight (J. P. Gavigan, F. Scapolo, M. Keenan, I. Miles, F. Farhi, D. Lecoq, M. Capriati, & T. Di Bartolomeo). Seville: Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, European Commission.
- European Commission. (n.d.). Strategic foresight. Retrieved 1 September 2026, from https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/strategic-foresight_en
- EuroScan International Network. (2014). A Toolkit for the Identification and Assessment of New and Emerging Health Technologies. Birmingham: EuroScan International Network.
- Flechtheim, O. K. (1966). History and Futurology. Meisenheim am Glan: Verlag Anton Hain.
- Gordon, T. J., & Hayward, H. (1968). Initial experiments with the cross-impact matrix method of forecasting. Futures, 1(2), 100–116.
- Hines, P., Yu, L. H., Guy, R. H., Brand, A., & Papaluca-Amati, M. (2019). Scanning the horizon: a systematic literature review of methodologies. BMJ Open, 9(5), e026764.
- Inayatullah, S. (1998). Causal layered analysis: Poststructuralism as method. Futures, 30(8), 815–829.
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2000). Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (N. Nakićenović & R. Swart, Eds.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Kahn, H., & Wiener, A. J. (1967). The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years. New York: Macmillan.
- Keller, L. O., Strohschein, S., Lia-Hoagberg, B., & Schaffer, M. A. (2004). Population-based public health interventions: Practice-based and evidence-supported. Public Health Nursing, 21(5), 453–468.
- Mendelow, A. L. (1991). Stakeholder mapping. Paper presented at the 2nd International Conference on Information Systems, Cambridge, MA.
- Milojević, I., & Inayatullah, S. (2015). Narrative foresight. Futures, 73, 151–162.
- Molitor, G. T. T. (1977). How to anticipate public-policy changes. SAM Advanced Management Journal, 42(Summer), 4–13.
- Molitor, G. T. T. (2003). Molitor forecasting model: Key dimensions for plotting the patterns of change. Journal of Futures Studies, 8(1), 61–72.
- Mutubuki, E. N., Moye-Holz, D., Peyroteo, M., Velez Lapão, L., & Hilderink, H. B. M. (2024). Foresight in public health: a tutorial on application and insights on challenges from the PHIRI foresight exercise. European Journal of Public Health, 34(Supplement_1), i87–i93. https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckae040
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. (2014). Public Health Foresight Study 2014 [Dutch: Een gezonder Nederland: Volksgezondheid Toekomst Verkenning 2014]. Bilthoven: RIVM.
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. (2018). A Healthy Prospect: Public Health Foresight Study 2018. Bilthoven: RIVM.
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. (2020). Public Health Foresight Study in the light of COVID-19. Bilthoven: RIVM.
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. (2024). Choosing a Healthy Future: Public Health Foresight Study 2024. Bilthoven: RIVM.
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. Evaluation of the National Prevention Agreement (Nationaal Preventieakkoord). Bilthoven: RIVM.
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. Loket Gezond Leven: database of recognised health interventions. Bilthoven: RIVM.
- Nuffield Council on Bioethics. (2007). Public Health: Ethical Issues. London: Nuffield Council on Bioethics.
- Popper, R. (2008). Foresight methodology. In L. Georghiou, J. C. Harper, M. Keenan, I. Miles, & R. Popper (Eds.), The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practice (pp. 44–88). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
- Ritchey, T. (2006). Problem structuring using computer-aided morphological analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 57(7), 792–801.
- Schwartz, P. (1991). The Art of the Long View. New York: Doubleday; and Wack, P. (1985). Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review, 63(5), 73–89.
- Sharpe, B., Hodgson, A., Leicester, G., Lyon, A., & Fazey, I. (2016). Three horizons: a pathways practice for transformation. Ecology and Society, 21(2), 47. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-08388-210247
- Smeets, E., & Weterings, R. (1999). Environmental Indicators: Typology and Overview. Copenhagen: European Environment Agency.
- Thompson, M., Ellis, R., & Wildavsky, A. (1990). Cultural Theory. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
- Trochim, W. M. K. (1989). An introduction to concept mapping for planning and evaluation. Evaluation and Program Planning, 12(1), 1–16.
- Tuinstra, W. (2018). Handreiking Stakeholderparticipatie (RIVM Briefrapport 2018-0175). Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu. https://doi.org/10.21945/RIVM-2018-0175
- van Asselt, M. B. A. (2000). Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk: The PRIMA Approach to Decision Support. Dordrecht: Kluwer.
- van Oostenbrugge, R., van Egmond, P., Dammers, E., van Hinsberg, A., Melman, D., Vader, J., & Wiersinga, W. (2012). Nature Outlook 2010–2040: Nature and Landscape in 2040 – Summary and Findings. Bilthoven/The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
- Van Woensel, L. (2021). Guidelines for foresight-based policy analysis (Study PE 690031). European Parliamentary Research Service, STOA. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EPRS_STU(2021)6900…
- Vennix, J. A. M. (1996). Group Model Building: Facilitating Team Learning Using System Dynamics. Chichester: Wiley.
- Walker, W. E., Harremoës, P., Rotmans, J., van der Sluijs, J. P., van Asselt, M. B. A., Janssen, P., & Krayer von Krauss, M. P. (2003). Defining uncertainty: A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integrated Assessment, 4(1), 5–17.
- Wells, H. G. (1898). The War of the Worlds. London: William Heinemann.
- Wilson, J. M. (2003). Gantt charts: A centenary appreciation. European Journal of Operational Research, 149(2), 430–437.
- World Health Organization. Evidence-Informed Policy Network (EVIPNet). Geneva: WHO.
- World Health Organization. International Classification of Health Interventions (ICHI). Geneva: WHO.